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I commented the other day that I believed eaga (EAGA, 124p) to be unloved, unknown and out of favour, but with directors buying prompting a ‘look again’ signal for investors (see post here).

Then I see that two days ago, Mark Tincknell, the Executive Chairman of Connaught (CNT, 396p) had been selling down his position in his company. He has sold 2 1/4 million shares, almost a third of his position, at 375p, to leave him with 1.3 million shares.

There are a couple of quotes I find rather amusing in the press release, namely that he sold shares ‘to satisfy institutional demand’. Well somebody had to be on the other side of the trade didn’t they !!

And then the release goes on to state that Mr Tincknell is extremely positive about the future prospects of the company’. That may well be the case. But the fact that he is selling such a huge slug of his holding may also indicate that Mr Tincknell thinks that those future prospects are already discounted in the share price.

I know little of these companies save what I read on their websites. These lines are taken from their company overview pages:

Connaught: ‘Our Social Housing division has a community focus, fixing, maintaining and cleaning homes and neighbourhoods for local authorities and social landlords, and is one of the most highly respected players in the national social housing landscape. Our Compliance division specialises in gas, electric, water and fire compliance, and provides full health and safety and business risk assessments.’

eaga:A leading provider of residential energy efficiency measures for utility companies under the Energy Efficiency Commitment (EEC), and a large and rapidly growing supplier into the social housing sector.’

I see a similarity in customer bases, but with a slightly differing product.
Then I look at the financial data as provided by Digitallook.com.

Company: …………………………………………Connaught ……………eaga

Mkt cap £m ………………………………………485 ……………………..306

Turnover £m ……………………………………..400 …………………….482 (both last reported finl year)

Net cash flow from operating activities £m 9.75 …………………33 (both last reported finl year)

Share price ………………………………………. 396p …………………..124p

eps (last reported finl year/forecast) … 12.2p/17p ……………12.27p/10.6p

And I leave you to make your own conclusions. All I can add is that this would be a long term trade, as it will take 2+ sets of results by eaga to change investors opinions.

eaga (EAGA, 135p) is a little understood company. It is more than 51% owned by its employees and directors, is trading below it’s IPO price of 181p, and its activities encompass something investors have little experience in, namely working with social housing providers and utilities in the replacement of heating systems.

The shares recently ‘collapsed’ from 200p at the end of February, to 135p now, on the back of an interim report pointing to cost squeezes and demand delays.

In January all the executive directors bought stock, at around 150p. I ignored this signal because the size of the purchases relative to the existing holdings were at 1% irrelevant.

But Malcolm Simpson, a non executive director of eaga, then increased his holding by 45%, investing £38,000. Last week he invested a further £40,000 by buying 30,000 shares at 133p, taking him to 88,000 shares.

And this week Dave Routledge, an Executive Director, has invested £99,000, buying 75,000 shares at 132p. In the context of Mr Routledges pay (£231,000- source: annual report 2007), his investment of £200,000 since January should be seen as significant.

I believe that eaga shares are underheld and the company unknown by UK investment institutions, and that therefore the information on directors dealings as highlighted above is significant.

Also see April 30th post on eaga and Connaught here.

This is an update on two strong calls.

‘Strong’ because of the extent (number of directors) and size (as % of previously held positions) of director buying.

Severfield Rowen (SFR, 331p) have announced that John Featherstone, a non exec director, has sold almost all his shares, realising £387,000.

This in itself is not a strong sell call, but may signal an opportunity to take profits. SFR are up 26% absolute, and up 25% relative to the FTSE 250 since the original buy signal on January 31st (see the post here).

Enodis (ENO, 224p) yesterday announced an approach from Manitowoc (MTW), possibly as high as 260p (see news here) . In November senior directors bought shares between 166p and 186p. See original post of December 2nd here. Since then Enodis are up 30% absolute, or up 37% relative to the FTSE250.

Misys'(MSY. 137p) CEO, CFO and Chairman have increased their positions by between 14%, 50% and 60% respectively, buying shares at between 135p and 136p last Friday.

Results imminent? No. We had an interim update (upbeat) and a share placing (at 175p) on the 18th March.

Track record? No. Management have been buying shares down from 248 to present levels since last year.

So why look at Misys?

1. Significant increase in positions (50-60%)

2. Three senior bods buying £70-£135k of shares each

3. Misys is one year into ‘Turnaround Strategy’, which should go some way to insulating them from the expected downturn in demand from banking customers.

So one for the watchlist, or for the long term investors.

See subsequent post of July 30th- ‘Misys- directors continue to buy- in size’.

Isn’t two months a long time in these markets!!

I was trying to find this post about the Easyjet (EZJ, 359p) Chairman Colin Chandlers track record in buying shares, and thought I’d written it only last month.

Andrew Harrison

Now we see Andrew Harrison, the CEO, last week buying 72,000 shares at 345p, putting £250k to work. He has increased his position by more than 1/3rd so far this year, having put in another £250k in January at 424p per share.

The stock fell ( collapsed?) last week after easyjet disclosed that it would suffer from jet fuel price rises. No kidding !! What do you pay these equity analysts to do? Any conversation with the company would have revealed how far forward they were hedged, and jet fuel prices are quoted daily.

I stick to my view in January that these guys are worth following.

TRG concessions

The Restaurant Group (RTN, 135p) keeps hitting the radar screen. This is the owner of Garfunkels, Frankie and Bennys, Chiquito, as well as many other brands and concessions, owning over 300 restaurants in the UK.

It hits the screen on director purchases, but also because these purchases are in a sector highly vulnerable to a fall in consumer confidence. And lastly, it scores highly due to the unusually high number of directors buying shares.

Five executive directors, the Non Exec Chairman, and the Company Secretary have over the last month put £400k to work in Restaurant Group shares.

Andrew Page, who was wise (not lucky, surely) enough to execrise an option and sell 650,000 shares at 351p in March last year, is now starting to buy back at less than half the price. Page has increased his position in Restaurant by about 60% over the last two weeks, buying 147,000 shares at between 140p and 147p.

Other directors who have participated in purchases are Bacon, Corzine, Morgan, Critoph, and Richardson, increasing their positions by between 15 and 50%.

Nick Salmon- Cookson CEO Mike Butterworth- Cookson CFO

Mike Butterworth, CFO, and Nick Salmon, CEO, of Cookson Group PLC (CKSN, 614p) yet again put their money where their mouth is.

Cookson on Tuesday declared in line results for 2007, with a confident outlook for 2008.

Butterworth and Salmon have been consistent buyers of the stock over the last three years. They last bought in March 2007, which prompted me to pick up some stock too. From March to October Cookson outperformed the FTSE250 by 40%. Since June 2005 Cookson were up 130% vs the FTSE250 up 60%, until October 2007. They’ve given up all this outperformance over the three months to January 2008.

The fact that Butterworth and Salmon have increased their holdings in Cookson by 90% and 45% respectively, gives me the confidence to buy some more for myself.

This is not a short term trade, ahead of news, but a longer term ‘invest alongside the management’ which has worked for me before.

Caveat: I’ve just read the statement from the company, not disclosed in the stock exchange statement, which shows this purchase to be part of the long term incentive plan. Under this plan, Butterworth and Salmon get ‘matching shares’ which means that essentially they’ve bought this stock at under 300p. So substantially lower risk to them than buying them at 590p (like you or I would have to).

savills-logo.gif

I was just looking at the forthcoming news, and see that Savills (SVS, 344p ) have their results this week (Wednesday March 12th).

A pretty non committal trading statement in January, and decent performance by the Real Estate sector (Savills classified by FTA as Real Estate) mean that this stock has been a great performer. Savills are up around 50% from their January lows, and have also outperformed Taylor Wimpey by 50% since the turn of the year.

I warned that it was too early to buy the housebuilders when I saw a director at Savills selling down his position in November at 353p. But I really now believe that any news this week from Savills is likely to be negative for the share price.

No matter what they say about global reach, 80% of operating profits come from the UK. And did you know that they have more than 17,000 employees ? Yes, a large chunk of costs will be commission (1/3rd of total staff costs), but 17,000 people is a heavy cost base to manage when things are turning down.

Another thing. Savills financial results didn’t seem to have any gearing to the upside when revenues were rising (revenues up  34%, operating profits only up 10% at June 2007 interim results) which means costs (staff costs up 35%) have been rising as fast as revenues. So watch what happens when revenues start falling.

Sources:

Savills H1 results presentation: http://ir.savills.com/savills/finnews/reports/interim07pres/interim07pres.pdf

Google Finance: http://finance.google.com/finance

Digitallook.com: http://www.digitallook.com/

For all articles on Savills published on followthedirectors click here.

Robert Walters

Robert Walters (RWA, 167p) directors, having sold 4.7m shares from March to September last year, at prices between 330p and 368p, are now starting to buy back their positions.

Robert Walters, CEO, and Giles Daubeney, COO, have this week bought 740,000 shares at around the 150p mark. Allan Bannatyne, CFO, has started a position by investing about £65,000 at the same level. See Yahoo Finance for details.

In August last year Robert Walters was ‘the subject of takeover interest from leisure recruitment specialist Berkeley Scott’ (Telegraph 21/8).

In November last year we saw directors of Michael Page (MPI) and SThree (STHR) investing quite heavily, investing £1.1m between them (see Michael Page comments).

Maybe conditions in this sector, which has a high sensitivity to economic growth, aren’t as bad as the market thinks. Or maybe expect future merger activity within the sector.

Next news Tuesday March 4th- Michael Page earnings release. Expect a comment on current trading.

PayPoint (PAY, 600p) gets a good rap from Questor, and the market.

So why then are directors selling big chunks of stock?

This week PayPoint Chairman Anthony Newlands raised £1.74m selling virtually all his shares,

CEO Dominic Taylor sold £2m worth, over a fifth of his holding, leaving him with £7.3m in the company, and

Executive Director Tim Watkins – Rees in December sold a fifth of his holding, leaving him with £3.8m in the company.

On Feb 14th the company issued a reassuring update statement, but I’d be concerned about the growth rate slowing down in the longer term.

So maybe I’d do the same, sell about half my holding (the very rough average % of the directors sales above).

PayPoint terminal
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