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I’m going to start to look more closely at using recent director dealing activity as a signal ahead of news. (I’m unsure about the reliability of what is essentially a long term signal being used as a forecast for short term movements in share prices. We’ll see how it goes shall we.)
All stocks listed below have news out next week.
All these stocks have seen director dealing activity which I have commented on. Click on the stock ticker to take you to the comment(s).
My favourite pick for positive feedback from an analysts visit is MISYS.
ENO neutral bid situation. Interims 13/5
ARM warm already had +ve Q1 on 29/4. AGM 13/5
CPG warm already had +ve trading update 27/3. Interims 14/5
MSY POSITIVE CEO, CFO, COO increased positions by 14%/50%/60% in late March. Analyst visit 14/5
AMEC POSITIVE CEO increased position by 50% spending £500k in April. AGM 14/5
CKSN POSITIVE CFO and CEO increased positions by 90% and 45% mid March. Trading Statement 15/5
III warm CEO Rea bought £500k on March 4th. Prelims 15/5
GFRM neutral already had trading update 1/5. AGM 16/5
All news dates are taken from Google Finance. They have not been verified with the companies themselves.
I want to wish you ‘good investing’ in a period of huge uncertainty. I suppose (is ‘hope’ a more appropriate word) the brave will be there to buy when everybody is panicking, which is why I’ve allowed myself to have a list of buys.
When I look at directors dealings I’m looking for a change of pattern or direction, an intensity of director interest indicated by volume and speed, and a sentiment change within a sector.
Stocks that satisfy one or more of these criteria are
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Wolfson (WLF)
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Aegis (AGS)
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Findel (FDL)
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Enodis (ENO)
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Segro (SGRO)
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Hammerson (HMSO)
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Great Portland (GPOR)
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Yell (YELL)
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Michael Page (MPI)
Look in the archives or via the tag list for my reasoning on these stocks.
Real estate stocks are overweighted here, which I suppose shows a tendency to ‘value’, by me and company directors. If I look at the real estate sector overall though, I find that over the last month director buys outnumber sells by about 4:1 (source www.digitallook.com). Interestingly the bank directors seem to have gone a little quiet recently, after a flurry in early November (see RBS) !!
You’ll also notice a preponderence to midcap or ftse250 stocks in this list. This is not intended, but a result of the criteria. I don’t look at stocks smaller than the ftse 250.